Yankees vs. Rays prediction: Take the Over in Game 3

0

Wednesday’s Game 3 starters in the New York Yankees-Tampa Bay Rays ALDS have experienced much past success but might have a tough time slowing down the opposing lineup.

Charlie Morton was the Rays’ Opening Day starter but has been far from the team’s ace, averaging less than five innings per start and posting his worst WHIP since 2012 to go with a 4.74 ERA.

Masahiro Tanaka also averaged fewer than five innings per start, and though his regular-season 3.56 ERA and 1.5 walks per nine innings are solid, he has given up at least three runs in four of his past five starts. In his past two starts, he has allowed a surreal 11 runs and six walks across eight innings.

The Yankees back up Tanaka with a lineup that belted 11 home runs to begin the 2020 playoffs, the most homers in a three-game span in postseason history with an average of 10.3 runs per game.

The Rays hit five homers in their first three games and go up against a starter in Tanaka who allowed 1.7 home runs per nine innings.

Across MLB this postseason entering Tuesday, the games have been all or nothing. Eleven games had a total of six runs or fewer scored, and eight games saw 10 or more runs generated. There was only one game with a total between seven and nine runs.

With two older pitchers who have not been sharp of late, this one figured to fall into the category of a slugfest.

The play: Rays-Yankees Game 3 total, Over nine runs.

View original post